Bitcoin Holds Near $77K as Exchange Inflows Signal Selling Pressure
TokenPost.ai
Bitcoin (BTC) hovered in the low $77,000s on Thursday, extending a mild pullback even as broader sentiment metrics stayed steady—an uneasy mix that suggests traders are waiting for direction while keeping an eye on potential near-term selling pressure from rising exchange inflows.
As of 2:21 a.m. UTC on May 22, Bitcoin was trading at $77,289, down 0.77% on the day. The move follows a brief rebound earlier in the week, but the latest drift lower underscores a market that has struggled to build momentum after the bounce.
Spot trading activity softened alongside the price. Reported 24-hour volume slipped to $26.4 billion, down 1.45% from the prior day, pointing to fading conviction and a more cautious, wait-and-see posture among participants.
Recent daily performance has been choppy but contained: BTC posted -0.49% on May 18, -0.20% on May 19, +1.00% on May 20, -0.11% on May 21, and -0.16% on May 22. The pattern highlights that the May 20 rebound has not yet translated into sustained upside, with two consecutive sessions of modest declines signaling a short-term consolidation.
Cross-asset signals were mixed. The S&P 500 rose 0.17% to 7,445.72, while gold fell 0.35% to 4,527, a split that suggests a modest tilt toward risk-taking even as crypto failed to capitalize on the broader equity strength.
Momentum indicators also reflected a tug-of-war between short-term stabilization and a weaker medium-term setup. The 124-day MACD remained in positive territory at 124.79, while the weekly MACD sat deeply negative at -4,055.29, reinforcing the view that recent gains may be more of a countertrend move than a clean trend reversal.
In positioning, Bitcoin’s market share continued to rise. BTC ‘dominance’ climbed 0.42 percentage points to 60.00%, indicating that capital is concentrating in Bitcoin rather than rotating aggressively into altcoins—often a hallmark of more defensive risk appetite within crypto markets.
Despite the dip, sentiment did not deteriorate. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index held at 50, firmly in ‘neutral’ territory and unchanged from both the prior day and the previous week. That stability suggests investors are neither capitulating nor chasing, leaving the market sensitive to catalysts that could tip positioning one way or the other.
Attention indicators edged higher. Google Trends data for Bitcoin rose to 51 from 50, implying slightly stronger search interest even as prices slipped. Network engagement also improved: active wallets increased to 639,626 from 629,968 the day before, a sign that on-chain activity can remain resilient during modest pullbacks.
However, supply-side exchange metrics pointed to a potential short-term headwind. Exchange reserves rose 0.09% to 2.6985 million BTC, while net flows turned more decisively positive, with net inflows increasing to 2,402 BTC—up 3.35% on the day. Rising exchange balances and inflows are often interpreted as an increase in ‘sell-ready’ supply, since coins moved onto exchanges can be positioned for liquidation.
Additional liquidity indicators offered little clarity. The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR)—a measure comparing Bitcoin’s market value to stablecoin supply—rose 1.00% to 11.9517, implying slightly less stablecoin firepower relative to BTC’s price. Meanwhile, NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) increased 1.01% to 0.3009, suggesting holders remain in aggregate profit—conditions that can support confidence but can also leave room for profit-taking on rallies.
Overall, Bitcoin remains in a narrow corrective phase near $77,000. With ‘neutral’ sentiment holding, attention and activity improving, and exchange inflows climbing, the near-term picture looks balanced: buyers have not disappeared, but the growing availability of coins on exchanges raises the risk that any rebound could meet quick supply.
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